Growth declined at a slower pace in the second quarter
The Malaysian economy contracted at a slower rate of 3.9% in the second quarter of 2009 (1Q 09: -6.2%), due mainly to higher public spending and positive growth in private consumption. Nonetheless, growth continued to be affected by weak external demand and private investment activity. Reflecting continued sluggish global economy, real net exports of goods and services declined by 0.7%. On the supply side, all economic sectors registered improved performance.
Slower pace of contraction in the second quarter

During the quarter, domestic demand registered a slower decline of 2.3% (1Q 09: -2.9%) following expansion in public sector spending and private consumption. Private consumption recorded a positive growth of 0.5% (1Q 09:
-0.7%), as stabilisation in labour market conditions and lower price levels provided further support to consumer spending. Consumer sentiments improved in the second quarter as reflected by MIER Consumer Sentiments
Index, which increased to 105.8 points from 78.9 points in the previous quarter. Meanwhile, public consumption expanded by 1% due to higher expenditure on supplies and services and emoluments. Gross fixed capital formation contracted by 9.8% (1Q 09: -10.8%) following continued decline in private investment activity, particularly in the manufacturing sector due to prevailing excess capacity amidst weak external demand. Nevertheless,higher public sector spending on development projects in the education, trade and industry as well as agriculture and rural development sectors provided some support to the overall investment activity.

All key sectors of the economy recorded better performance during the quarter. The services sector registered a positive growth of 1.6% (1Q 09: – 0.2%) due mainly to better performance of the finance and insurance sub- sector. The manufacturing sector declined at a slower pace of 14.5% (1Q 09: – 17.9%) following improvements in the export-oriented industries, particularly the E&E industry, as a result of increasing inventory replenishment activity after the massive cut in production and large inventory drawdown undertaken during the first quarter. Growth in the construction sector strengthened to 2.8% (1Q 09: 1.1%) as the industry benefitted from the increased implementation of the stimulus package. Meanwhile, the agriculture sector turned around to grow by 0.3% (1Q 09: -4.3%) supported by continued strong production of food crops and a smaller decline in industrial crops, while growth in the mining sector declined at a moderate pace of 2.6% (1Q 09: -5.2%) due to a smaller contraction in the output of natural gas and crude oil.
Headline inflation rate, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), was 1.3% in the second quarter of 2009 (1Q 09: 3.7%). As with the previous quarter, the moderation in inflation was largely explained by lower inflation in the food and non-alcoholic beverages and transport categories. Inflation in the food and non-alcoholic beverages category moderated to 5.3% (1Q 09: 9.2%). Meanwhile, prices in the transport category fell by 8.2% compared to their levels a year ago (1Q 09: -2.1%), reflecting mainly the high base effect of the sharp rise in the price level in June 2008 arising from fuel price adjustments.
In the external sector, the trade surplus narrowed but remained large at RM26.5 billion, as gross imports contracted at a slower pace compared to gross exports. Gross exports registered a sharper contraction of 26.3% (1Q 09: -20.0%) as demand for manufactured products from major trading partners remained weak, while commodity exports contracted significantly by 40.6% (1Q 09: -23.8%) due primarily to lower prices compared with the same period of 2008. Meanwhile, improved manufacturing output and the restocking of inputs for production led to a smaller contraction in imports of intermediate goods, and thus a lower decline of imports of 23.7% (1Q 09: -29.0%).
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